Flashcards · Maths · Probability
Tree Diagrams
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What does a tree diagram show?
All the possible outcomes of events happening one after another, with their probabilities.
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What do you do along a path in a tree diagram?
Multiply the probabilities.
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What do you do when more than one path gives the result you want?
Add the path probabilities.
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What should the branches leaving one point add up to?
1.
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What does independent mean for two events?
The first event does not change the probability of the second.
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What is different about the branches for events without replacement?
The second probabilities depend on the first pick.
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What is \(P(\text{at least one})\) in terms of \(P(\text{none})\)?
\(1 - P(\text{none})\).
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Rain has probability 0.3 on each of two days. What is the probability of rain on both days?
\(0.3 \times 0.3 = 0.09\).
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With 3 red and 2 blue counters, what is \(P(\text{two reds})\) without replacement?
\(\dfrac{3}{5} \times \dfrac{2}{4} = \dfrac{3}{10}\).
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With 3 red and 2 blue counters, what is \(P(\text{different colours})\) without replacement?
\(\dfrac{3}{5}\).
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What is the probability of any particular outcome of three coin tosses?
\(\dfrac{1}{8}\).
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How do you check a completed tree diagram?
The outcome probabilities should add up to 1.
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If one branch has probability 0.6, what is the other branch from the same point?
0.4.
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Why does the denominator drop to 4 on the second pick from 5 counters?
One counter has been taken and not replaced.
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What does "with replacement" mean?
The item is put back, so the probabilities stay the same.
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Why is "at least one" often quicker with the opposite?
Only one path (none) needs calculating instead of several.